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New GOP Scandal Likely to Shift Governorship and House Seat to Dems Email Print

Everyone's talking about the newest Republican scandal unfolding in Nevada, but in case you haven't had the time to think much about it, I'd like to highlight the following...

First, this NEW scandal will refocus the national spotlight back to the seemingly infinite stream of Republican improprieties giving one final push to the image of the corrupt Republican party - just in case it was slipping anyone's mind.

Second, this will clearly shift momentum from Gibbons to his Democratic challenger for Nevada Governor, Dina Titus.

Already, Titus is fighting the good fight but trailing Gibbons by about 6 points.

The average of the last 5 non-partisan polls looks like this:

Jim Gibbons (R) 47
Dina Titus (D) 41

Expect this latest episode of Republican greed, self-entitlement, and hypocrisy to induce a HUGE swing in favor of Titus -- yet another Governorship in the Democrat's column.

Also to be considered is the battle between Jill Derby (D) and Dean Heller (R) for Nevada's 2nd congressional district -- the one being vacated by Gibbons.

The only two non-partisan polls conducted show a close race.

Mason-Dixon - 9/19-21/06

Jill Derby (D) ~ 42
Dean Heller (R) ~ 45

Research 2000 - 9/5-7/06

Jill Derby (D) ~ 37
Dean Heller (R) ~ 45

With the high-profile Republican incumbent crashing and burning in scandal, there is a high likelihood that there will be some negative energy weighing on his would-be Republican successor. It may only be for a few points but in a race this tight, a few points are all you need.

Also note that it's too late to take Gibbons name off the ballot, so if this continues in the direction that I think it will, that will mean Jim Gibbons' name will be sitting at the top of the ballot reminding the good voters of Nevada of the scandal, corruption, dishonesty, criminality, perversion, and hypocrisy that the GOP has wrought upon this land.

It will be a fine reminder that it's time for a change.


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Would it be too much to think this could help Jack Carter close the gap on Ensign?  After Ensign's insane proposal to give nukes to Japan to scare China straight, you would think people might already be feeling a little antsy.

Ensign was ahead of Jack Carter by 9 pts in the last poll I saw, but that was a smaller gap than earlier polls had indicated.

by Devilstower on 10/26/2006 06:42:04 AM EST

and in an anti-incumbent, anti-Republican cycle, anything is possible, however...

according to pollster.com, the average of the last 5 non-partisan polls shows Carter trailing Ensign by 13 points. So unless Ensign has a few illegal immigrants stuffed in his basement -- and the public discovers it in the next few days, I'm afraid the Gibbons event will be too little too late.

Prove me wrong!

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 10/26/2006 09:49:12 AM EST

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