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Deval Patrick Surges into the Lead in MA Gov Race Email Print

When Deval Patrick began his campaign for governor of Massachusetts last year, he had zero name recognition. Attorney General Tom Reilly seemed like the all-but-inevitable Democratic nominee. A fixture of state politics for 25 years, Reilly had twice won statewide office. He had wide name recognition. He had raised $3 million.  

All of the top prospective Democratic candidates opted not to run. But Patrick decided to take him on; running a grassroots and a netroots campaign -- and actually going out and talking to people.

Patiently playing his own game, he defied the odds; the early polls; and the tsk tsking of the establishment press and party insiders. The July poll conducted by State House News Service, showed that his strategy has payed off, as Patrick has surged into the lead in the Democratic primary, as well as leading the field in the general election.  

Off the strength of his large win at the Democratic convention, Deval Patrick has moved into the lead in a Democratic gubernatorial primary trial heat three-way race against Tom Reilly and Chris Gabrieli, with Patrick receiving 35% vs. 22% for Gabrieli and 19% for Reilly. In general election trial heats pitting each of the three Democrats against Republican Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey, Independent Christy Mihos, and Green Rainbow candidate Grace Ross, all three Democrats maintain slight leads.

Dem Primary: Patrick v Gabrieli v Reilly

      Now                      35%       22%        19%
  May, 2006             15%       25%        37%
March, 2006           21%         8%        43%


Patrick not only recieved the overwhelming endorsement of the state Democratic convention in June, after winning the lion's share of delegates at the party caucuses in February,  but he has picked up the endorsements of, among others, U.S.Representatives Jim McGovern, Mike Capuano, Barney Frank, John Olver and John Tierney, as well as the Massachusetts chapter of the American Federation of Teachers, Democracy for America, Progressive Democrats of Massachusetts, and 42 state legislators.

Prior to announcing his candidacy April 2005, Patrick was best known for his service as head of the Civil Rights Division of the U.S. Department of Justice in the Clinton administration. He later served as general counsel and a senior executive at Coca-Cola and Texaco. He had been a partner at two Boston law firms and lawyer for the NAACP's Legal Defense Fund. Patrick's grassroots campaign reports having over 5,000 volunteers and raising more than $3.7 million, including more than $700,000 raised through the campaign's website, www.devalpatrick.com.

Running contrary to the inside-the-beltway conventional wisdom, he is unquivocally and passionately pro-choice and pro marriage equality.  He is also the first African-American to run for governor of Massachusetts.

Although races that could determine the control of the next Congress have received the most attention from political junkies and the media, Patrick's candidacy is changing how politics is done in the state forever, and if he wins the primary, will very likely be one of the most influential and talked about campaigns in the country this fall.


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When the candidates start dumping their cash into saturation advertising, who knows what will happen?

But this poll is nevertheless a fair indicator of how far Patrick has come up from nowhere.

by Frederick Clarkson on 07/11/2006 11:17:43 AM EST

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