Political Cortex: Lamont Wins!!!

Lamont Wins!!!

By Devilstower
08/08/2006 08:54:37 PM EST

All day long, the internets have been roasting under the load. Lieberman's site has been down more than 18 hours. The State of Connecticut's official site for results is down. Even Kos was temporarily knocked off the air.

So, because it's as required for a political site today as breathing, here are the current results.

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
733 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 97.99%

Name	Party	Votes	Pct
Lamont, Ned	DEM	144,005	51.79
Lieberman, Joe (i)	CFL	134,026	48.21

Lamont widening the gap as the last precincts report. It appears he even took Hartford. So long, Joe! All the majors are now reporting Joe's concession speech and Joe's home town paper has called it for Lamont.
CNN now reporting that Joe has surrendered.

Sen. Joe Lieberman has conceded to upstart challenger Ned Lamont in Connecticut's Democratic primary.

Unfortunately, Lieberman proved to be just as egotistical as he had indicated earlier and immediately launched into his indy campaign.

: lamont, lieberman, senate

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< Israel: If it moves, kill it | Rove Spearheads Lieberman Independent Run >

Lamont Wins!!! | 77 comments (77 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Alright 17% down (1.00 / 2)

and so far so good... but I can't believe how nervous I am abou this race.

Weird;)

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:14:18 PM EST

Yeah. (1.00 / 3)

It's almost as though the results of this race MATTER more than the average race. HEhe. Hope I'm still laughing when the night is through. Maybe I can have a talk with dad;)

by Jesus on 08/08/2006 09:26:13 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: LOL (1.00 / 2)

Tell your dad I said "Hi" and that a Lamont Victory would be great for planet Earth and the human race.
Thanks!
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:35:44 PM EST

[ Parent ]
: Yup (1.00 / 3)

and throw in a word for me to, Jesus.
by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:06:57 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Thank God for (1.00 / 2)

Political Cortex. The wait on some of the other links I tried is eternal. Please keep it coming.

by Embolden on 08/08/2006 09:18:42 PM EST

: Same here. (1.00 / 3)

Thank you guys!
by Jesus on 08/08/2006 09:26:45 PM EST

[ Parent ]
: Thanks DT!! (1.00 / 2)

Devilstower ROCKS!!!!!!
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:36:45 PM EST

[ Parent ]

With about a third in (1.00 / 4)

CTBob has it at 60K for Lamont, 50K for Lieberman.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:20:10 PM EST

Keep it coming baby! (1.00 / 3)

And none of this last minute "Joe comes from behind" Crap either!

Understand?

by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 09:21:26 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Agreed. (1.00 / 3)

The thought of the last minute come from behind always sends chills up my spine:(

Fingers Crossed! X

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:37:43 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: and it's only getting closer. (none / 1)

mommy.
by Embolden on 08/08/2006 09:47:50 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Official 33% results (1.00 / 3)

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
253 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 33.82%

Lamont, Ned 55,294 54.09
Lieberman, Joe (i) 46,941 45.91

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:21:50 PM EST

Coming in fast and furious now. (1.00 / 3)

Have they started to bring in the urban areas yet?

by Jesus on 08/08/2006 09:24:20 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Must be coming soon (none / 1)

I read that the Cities would most likely be reporting around 10PM -- 9:41 now.

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:38:48 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: 10:04 and 73+% (none / 1)

Definitely includes urban areas by now.
by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:03:02 PM EST

[ Parent ]

I! (1.00 / 3)

LOL!! I love the (I) after Joe's name.

by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 09:22:28 PM EST

I think that one's just "incumbent" (1.00 / 4)

But give it a couple of hours and we'll have to change the party to CFL.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:26:37 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: Maybe you should (1.00 / 3)

skip the modification to I and go right to R.
by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:03:47 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Double LOL. (1.00 / 3)

I thought the same thing. Thought Devilstower was showing his charismatic sense of humor. Guess I'm used to seeing the incumbent in bold and the like. Either way, I hope he never wears the D again.

by Jesus on 08/08/2006 09:28:48 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Independent Joe. (1.00 / 3)

Man, IF ew are fortunate and Joe loses this primary, he damn well better have the dignity to step down gracefully!

If not, he'll only be embarrassing himself -- but I'm now counting Chicks prior to eggs -- never a good practice!

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:42:03 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: at this point, I don't care what Joe does (1.00 / 3)

as long as Lamont wins this primary. first things first.
Gimme an 'L'
Gimme an 'A'
Gimme an 'M'
Gimme an 'O'
Gimme an 'N'
Gimme an 'T'
What does it spell?
LAMONT! LAMONT! LAMONT! Gooooo LAMONT!
by Embolden on 08/08/2006 09:51:04 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Up to 44% (1.00 / 3)

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
332 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 44.39%

Lamont, Ned 64,383 53.09
Lieberman, Joe (i) 56,891 46.91

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:27:26 PM EST

Zoinks! (1.00 / 3)

Tightening a little here. Don't like that one bit.

by Jesus on 08/08/2006 09:29:27 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Halfway point numbers now in the post (1.00 / 3)

I can't say I like the way things are trending. I only hope we're not looking at a repeat of Mexico, where I stay up to 3AM watching my hopes fade one tiny percentage at a time.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:34:07 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Argghhhhh! (1.00 / 2)

Come on DT, I'm counting on you to bring us through this. Please make that horrible Lieberman gaining thingy stop ASAP:O

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:43:30 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Yeah Devilstower. (1.00 / 3)

You have that power right?

by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:05:46 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Your wish is my command (1.00 / 2)

It's been about dead even the last 15%. Keep thinking good thoughts.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:07:40 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Good thoughts. (none / 1)

Good thoughts. Good thoughts. That's all I have is good thoughts.

by Embolden on 08/08/2006 10:23:17 PM EST

[ Parent ]

I'd hope not (none / 1)

If the gap stays about 5K, I'd think that would be enough to discourage any kind of recount. Though we've been bemoaning the shrinking gap, a 3% win is still a pretty solid win these days.

No new numbers for the last five minutes. There seems to be a lull in the reporting. Hopefully, it's not so a bunch of Lieberman staff can substitute some freshly printed pro-Joe ballots.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:34:38 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: Ho boy. (none / 0)

This reminds me of... I don't know but for some reason my stomach is begining to churn.
Is that a good sign?
Didn't think so.
by Jesus on 08/08/2006 10:38:50 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Okay, I'm officially biting my nails (1.00 / 4)

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
404 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 54.01%

Lamont, Ned 74,396 51.98
Lieberman, Joe (i) 68,718 48.02

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:36:29 PM EST

: A bit of good news (1.00 / 3)

For Lamont in the update to 56%. Let's see if that continues.
by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:44:54 PM EST

[ Parent ]
: FARK!! (none / 1)

What's going on?
by Embolden on 08/08/2006 09:46:02 PM EST

[ Parent ]

WAY TOO CLOSE at 65% reporting (1.00 / 3)

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
484 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 64.71%

Lamont, Ned 89,814 51.60
Lieberman, Joe (i) 84,231 48.40

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:45:50 PM EST

Can't we ever just win (1.00 / 3)

by a landslide. Really, I mean just once?

by Embolden on 08/08/2006 09:46:54 PM EST

[ Parent ]

A Big Ray of Sunshine (1.00 / 3)

CTBob says they have 80% counted at headquarters, with Lamont up by over 10K.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:48:29 PM EST

[ Parent ]

YES!!! (none / 1)

Let's pull this one out!

What kind of % cushion does that give Lamont for the final 20%. Too lazy to calculate it myself.

by Embolden on 08/08/2006 09:52:50 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: 20% of the total precincts is about (none / 1)

53,000 votes, so a 10,000 cushion with 53,000 votes yet to be counted is a pretty fair cushion.
Did that ultra quick. hope I'm not too far off.
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:57:52 PM EST

[ Parent ]

71% Results above (1.00 / 2)

Lead still narrow, but it seems to be holding up. Now I have my fingers crossed that it will grow to match the numbers CTBob is showing.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:54:50 PM EST

73% Results (1.00 / 2)

U.S. Senate - - Dem Primary
551 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 73.66%

Lamont, Ned 103,145 51.73
Lieberman, Joe 96,235 48.27

That 7K edge is still there.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 09:56:23 PM EST

[ Parent ]

More from CT Bob (1.00 / 2)

With 542/743 precincts

Lamont 117,678
Lieberman 110,339

That's well ahead of the reports at the "official" sites.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:01:12 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: That's 73% (1.00 / 2)

We can do this.
by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:08:48 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Wow... (none / 1)

this is a freakin nail-biter. Thanks for managing this amigo.

YOU ROCK!!!!

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 09:59:22 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Where is CTBob (none / 1)

getting his numbers from and why don't they exactly match the numbers you're posting here?

I mean, they are not off by much, but when the race is this close, every vote matters.

by Embolden on 08/08/2006 10:24:58 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Official 80% Results (1.00 / 2)

598 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 79.95%

Lamont, Ned 114,165 51.75
Lieberman, Joe 106,428 48.25

Not as nice as the numbers Bob was showing earlier, but it is a slight trend toward Lamont.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:08:44 PM EST

As she said in (none / 1)

"When Harry met Sally," yes. Yes! YES!!

by Jesus on 08/08/2006 10:10:21 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: I'll have (none / 1)

what she's having;)
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 10:14:58 PM EST

[ Parent ]
: hmmm-hmmm... (none / 1)

should language like that really be coming out of your mouth? ;-D
by Embolden on 08/08/2006 10:25:59 PM EST

[ Parent ]

And 81.28% (none / 1)

608 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 81.28%

Lamont, Ned 116,387 51.71
Lieberman, Joe 108,683 48.29

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:10:50 PM EST

[ Parent ]

And 82% (1.00 / 3)

618 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 82.62%

Lamont, Ned 119,100 51.83
Lieberman, Joe 110,686 48.17

Next update I'll edit the main post. While the percentages are staying about the same, Lamont is gradually padding his lead a few hundred at a time.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:17:05 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Keep it coming (none / 1)

Devilstower. as long as he's padding and not de-padding.

And what do you think the probability of a recount is if this thing ends up REALLY close?

Is there an automatic trigger for such a recount?

by Embolden on 08/08/2006 10:28:40 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: I'm guessing (none / 0)

and purely guessing that if we are forunate enough to end this thing with Lamont ahead by 4% (approximately the current spread), than that would be too much for any automatic recount trigger if the state has one.
I think such triggers usually light up at about 0.5%, but I could certainly be wrong and I'm sure it varies.
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 10:32:13 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Hey (none / 1)

Where is the 10K+ promised by CTBob?

I'll forgive him as long as Lamont puts this one into his WIN column!

Woo Hoo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Let's go!!!!!!

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 10:17:27 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Please join me in a (1.00 / 2)

BIG FAT CELEBRATION!!!!!!

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 10:57:22 PM EST

: Here's the code (1.00 / 2)

< a href="http://www.uploadfile.info" target="_blank">< img alt="Image Hosted by Free image hosting" src="http://www.uploadfile.info/ uploads/ec224c0cc6.jpg" />< /a>
< a href="http://www.uploadfile.info" target="_blank">< img alt="Image Hosted by Free image hosting" src="http://www.uploadfile.info/ uploads/2668331dd6.jpg" />< /a>
Just take the space out from after each "<"
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 10:58:51 PM EST

[ Parent ]

94% Results (1.00 / 2)

With Ned gaining ground. His margin is above 9K.

706 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 94.39%

Lamont, Ned 136,353 51.73
Lieberman, Joe 127,249 48.27

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:59:25 PM EST

: Celebrate Good times (none / 1)

Come on!

Oh, Glorious day!
by Embolden on 08/08/2006 11:00:46 PM EST

[ Parent ]
: Count me in. (none / 0)

Drinks are on me!!!!!!

(Primal battle cry of victory)

Glug, glug, glug!!!

by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 11:06:02 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Call the RACE!!! (none / 0)

Call it:O

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 10:35:26 PM EST

For what it's worth (none / 0)

And to me, it's worth less than zero, but Drudge has called the race for Lamont.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:38:49 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: For what it's worth (none / 0)

it means something to me.

Not sure why. I guess it just sounds good (happy face!)
by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:42:24 PM EST

[ Parent ]

87% Results (none / 1)

Just as I was complaining that the official site was stuck, some new numbers came up. Still looking good as Ned's edge nears 9K votes.

648 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 86.63%

Lamont, Ned 124,528 51.82
Lieberman, Joe 115,803 48.18

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:36:16 PM EST

Yesirreesir. (none / 1)

Do I have the authority to call this race? Cause I will ya know, and then all the media will be pissed that I had the courage to call it first.

by Jesus on 08/08/2006 10:40:22 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: Jesus Christ! (none / 1)

Just call the damn thing;)
by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:44:19 PM EST

[ Parent ]

A very small update (none / 1)

651 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 87.03%

Lamont, Ned 124,940 51.84
Lieberman, Joe 116,060 48.16

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:42:04 PM EST

[ Parent ]

That's a .02% increas of Ned over the last report (none / 1)

I'll take it.

by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:43:43 PM EST

[ Parent ]

I don't like this one (none / 1)

The only thing good about it is that it brings us closer to the end, but Lieberman cut into the gap by several hundred.

667 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 89.17%

Lamont, Ned 127,786 &n bsp; 51.60
Lieberman, Joe 119,867 48.40

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:48:00 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Several hundred (none / 0)

I can take at this point. It's the several thousand that worry me.

But do you have any clue what the make-up is on the final precincts?

by Captain Marvel on 08/08/2006 10:50:18 PM EST

[ Parent ]

93% results above (none / 0)

With Lamont holding it. Lieberman would have to win at about a 65% rate to pull it out from here. I'm calling it for Ned.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 10:54:47 PM EST

[ Parent ]

: Woo Hoo!!!! (none / 0)

DT Calls it for Ned!
That IS Damn good enough for me!!!!
Thanks DT!!!
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 10:56:30 PM EST

[ Parent ]

95% results above (none / 0)

A very tiny update here:

714 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 95.45%
Lamont, Ned 139,496 51.90
Lieberman, Joe 129,271 48.10

Ned leads with more than 10K. The fat lady is on the chorus and the majors are lining up. The folks at Fox are pratically in tears. Buck up, guys! Now you can have that Joe and Zell show you always wanted.

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 11:06:49 PM EST

: Joe Surrenders! (none / 0)

From CNN:
Sen. Joe Lieberman has conceded to upstart challenger Ned Lamont in Connecticut's Democratic primary.
Let the feast of a thousand hams begin! (it's a Futurama reference, folks, not an anti-semetic remark)
by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 11:09:43 PM EST

[ Parent ]
: I LOVE Fat Ladies (none / 0)

especially when their singing drives Joe out of the DEM Column.
So, you know it's coming...

Uh huh, Uh huh!!!
Thanks Devilstower for the ultra timely updates.
Three cheers for Devilstower.
Hip, hip, Hooray!!!
by Jesus on 08/08/2006 11:10:24 PM EST

[ Parent ]

Sweeeeeeeet! (none / 0)

"Sen. Joe Lieberman has conceded to upstart challenger Ned Lamont in Connecticut's Democratic primary."

Nice, now will he step down from the entire race? That is the question.

And THIS, THIS is democracy!!!

Thank you DT for a great night.

uhhhhh, you know what I mean:O

Heh!

Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic

by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 11:13:17 PM EST

Joe going independent (none / 1)

As promised.

As I see it, in this campaign, we just finished the first half, but in the second half, our team, "Team Connecticut" will surge ahead to victory"

Team Connecticut? Don't you mean "Connecticut for Lieberman?" Why not just call it "My Ego is Almost as Big as My Ass?"

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 11:14:03 PM EST

: Enraging! (none / 0)

But not surprising -- just one more drain on the Democratic party this cycle.
Thanks Joe, you sore losing piece of **!
Political Cortex -- Brain Food for the Body Politic
by Tom Ball on 08/08/2006 11:36:36 PM EST

[ Parent ]

97% Results (none / 1)

24 of 748 Precincts Reporting - 96.79%

Name	Party	Votes	Pct
Lamont, Ned	DEM	141,623	51.85
Lieberman, Joe	CFL	131,491	48.15

by Devilstower on 08/08/2006 11:21:24 PM EST

Lamont Wins!!! | 77 comments (77 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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