Obama Will Achieve Transformation Era Landslide

Teixeira's prediction for the opening decade of the New Millennium was comparable to what conservative political analyst Kevin Phillips had prophesied in the opposite direction. It is significant that Phillips in the closing decade of the twentieth century criticized the new wave of right wing Republicanism manifesting under George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, issuing a prediction dovetailing with that of Teixeira.
On Teixeira's website The Democratic Strategist the term purple states is employed to refer to the emergent opportunities for Democrats in such states as Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada and others.
The most obvious manifestation that America is in the midst of a transformative election comparable to 1932 and the victory of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, ushering in his New Deal, is that Republicans are stymied and shifting messages in an effort to find a winning strategy.
When a party is in the throes of a transformative defeat it is natural to, as in cases of regular human conduct, to engage in a period of denial that such a surge operating to that party's disfavor is occurring. This is manifested by the declining right wing, religious evangelical base asserting ever more strongly that the same formula that brought victories in the future will do so now.
It was written in one of my earlier columns that John McCain, by pursuing the logical path to a Republican presidential nomination, had checkmated himself in the general election. This checkmating occurred within his own party when he was angrily vetoed by the right wing base when he sought to select his close friend Joseph Lieberman as his running mate.
The thundering, highly vocal base that was used to having things its own way vetoed Lieberman due to his pro-choice abortion view. McCain responded by placing himself in a greater bind and tightening the checkmate under which he was already operating by selecting Sarah Palin as his running mate.
Sarah Palin has been stoutly praised and saluted as a superb choice by the likes of Pat and Bay Buchanan as well as Dick Cheney. These are the forces of the old order. Their enthusiasm translates into resistance from citizens falling outside the 25 percent hard right range that embraces Palin's views.
Another tangible sign during transformative elections is the bolting from the ranks of the party of the discarded old order. Such prominent Republican names as Reagan, Eisenhower and Goldwater have rejected John McCain and endorsed Barack Obama, not to mention Colin Powell.
Powell reassures voters in an area where Republicans have sought to make the Democratic nominee look weak and inexperienced -- military-related issues.
Since Arizona, John McCain's home state, is located in the bread basket of emerging western state change, it is logical and proper to make a fight in the Republican's own backyard.
As for a predicted result, Obama should win by an 8 to 10-point margin in the popular vote. The Electoral College vote should also be a landslide with Obama scaling as many as 400 votes, with between 350 and 380 standing as a comfortable range.
If America were not as polarized as it stands today even during a transformative change election, Obama, given the strong tide in his favor and an uncertain, mistake laden Republican campaign, would be able to score a popular vote victory on the scale of FDR in 1932 or 1936, Johnson in 1964, or Reagan in 1984.
KEYWORDS: 2008 Presidential Election, Prediction of Obama Landslide, Republican Ideological Intransigence
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