This week's newsletter below.
Last week also saw some very promising numbers (fundraising and polls) for Democratic Senate races, particularly in Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Colorado and Virginia. If these numbers hold out, five Senate pickups are very possible. Oregon, Oklahoma, Alaska and Mississippi are less spectacular, but do indicate some good fights ahead. Nebraska isn't mentioned. All of these are endangered Republican seats. There are only two endangered Democratic seats, and only Louisiana looks even vaguely like the Republicans are able to raise money to defeat a Democrat this year. So it comes down to 5 seriously threatened and four or five possibly threatened Republican Senate seats and only one seriously threatened and one possibly threatened Democratic Senate seat.
We also saw some really amazing numbers coming in for fundraising for House races ALL over the nation, from Idaho to California to Virginia to Florida. Some of those amazing numbers were only amazing for the last quarter, and not overall (though if continued could decide the race). But in other cases we are way ahead overall.
If the trends continue, and we can't assume they will, 2008 will be another big year for Democrats. We may lose a couple of House seats, but we will probably pick up 5-10 more. I predict a net gain of at least 4-5 House seats and maybe more. We may lose a Senate seat but should pick up at least 2-5. I predict a one or two seat net gain in the Senate...maybe more. The Republicans are focusing most on the Presidential race. We will be fighting bigger money there, more smears, and latent or not so latent sexism or racism. I think we can win. But we have to work at it.
Here is this week's newsletter:
TABLE OF CONTENTS:
KEYWORDS: Tara Johnson, Justine Kozanoglu, Alison Page, Diane Benson, Iowa, New York, California, New Jersey, Virginia, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Alaska, Texas, Oregon, North Carolina, Arizona
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